Tag: Coronavirus

U.S. Report Found It Plausible Covid-19 Leaked From Wuhan Lab

U.S. Report Found It Plausible Covid-19 Leaked From Wuhan Lab

I am not an epidemiologist, so my word is not final on this subject however, I will point out that with every major natural virus in the last 20 or so years, by the time the virus was with us for 12 months we had samples of the virus leaping from bat to animal to human. Not in this case, we still do not know a natural way that this virus could have infected Patient 0. The longer that it takes to find the path of animal to human, the more likely it is that it was lab to human.

According to Dr. Stephen Quay, and Richard Muller, the Covid-19 pathogen has a genetic footprint that has never been observed in a natural coronavirus making it ALMOST impossible that the virus could have come from purely natural origins. Quay is the founder of US-based biopharmaceutical company Atossa Therapeutics, while Muller is a Physics professor at the University of California Berkeley.

Therefore, every passing day, week, and month makes it more likely that this is a human-caused calamity and it is the single biggest, most deadly, and most economically devastating human mistake EVER.

I am not contending that China maliciously released the virus upon its own population. I do believe that China knows for a fact the true origins of the virus and they should likely be held responsible for the trillions of dollars of harm they have caused to the world population.


Exponential growth bias may be affecting our reaction to COVID-19

Exponential growth bias may be affecting our reaction to COVID-19

A simple mathematical mistake may explain why many people underestimate the dangers of coronavirus, shunning social distancing, masks, and hand-washing.

Many people consistently underestimate how fast the value increases – a mistake known as the “exponential growth bias” – and while it may seem abstract, it may have had profound consequences for people’s behavior this year.

A spate of studies has shown that people who are susceptible to the exponential growth bias are less concerned about Covid-19’s spread, and less likely to endorse measures like social distancing, hand washing, or mask-wearing. In other words, this simple mathematical error could be costing lives – meaning that the correction of the bias should be a priority as we attempt to flatten curves and avoid second waves of the pandemic around the world.

The researchers speculate that some of the graphical representations found in the media may have been counter-productive. It’s common for the number of infections to be presented on a “logarithmic scale”, in which the figures on the y-axis increase by a power of 10 (so the gap between 1 and 10 is the same as the gap between 10 and 100, or 100 and 1000).

While this makes it easier to plot different regions with low and high growth rates, it means that exponential growth looks more linear than it really is, which could reinforce the exponential growth bias.